Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +13.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Drury on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Drury wins 58.9% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 56.9% vs Cates 45.1% (+13.2%)
H2H factor
Drury leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Drury 94.3%
Defensive zone
Drury 86.1%
Neutral zone
Drury 83.0%
Result
Jack Drury favored at 86.4%
86.4%
13.6%
Drury
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
3
(12 meetings)
9
3
Drury
Cates
Last 10: Drury 7-3 Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Drury
2
0
Drury
Cates
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Drury
4
2
Drury
Cates
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Drury
3
1
Drury
Cates
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (592)
46.7% (912)
+11.2%
Power Play
67.4% (46)
33.9% (56)
+33.5%
Penalty Kill
52.8% (108)
35.0% (137)
+17.8%
On power play, Drury has a +33.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Drury is 58.9% vs left-shot opponents (530).
Drury shoots left. Cates is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (767).
Home / Away
Drury
Cates
Home
59.3% (364)
46.1% (521)
Away
56.3% (382)
43.3% (584)
By Period
Drury
Cates
P1
53.9%
48.0%
P2
60.5%
42.3%
P3
58.3%
44.3%
OT
66.7%
31.3%
Final 5 min
55.6%
42.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
68.0%▲
63.5%
57.8%
Cates
56.0%▲
46.5%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 15:48 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 15:29 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 01:57 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Nov 20, 2024 | 3 | 10:56 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Nov 20, 2024 | 3 | 10:45 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Nov 20, 2024 | 2 | 02:53 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Nov 20, 2024 | 2 | 02:46 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Nov 20, 2024 | 1 | 13:28 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 3 | 19:58 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 3 | 13:09 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 3 | 03:39 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 2 | 13:30 | Neutral | Jack Drury |