Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +13.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Drury on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Drury wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 57.7% vs Cates 45.5% (+13.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Drury 68.8%
Defensive zone
Drury 96.3%
Neutral zone
Drury 92.4%
Result
Jack Drury favored at 96.3%
96.3%
3.7%
Drury
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Drury
Cates
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Drury
3
0
Drury
Cates
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
60.7% (702)
45.5% (756)
+15.2%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
42.1% (114)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (165)
44.7% (47)
+6.2%
On even strength, Drury has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Drury is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (536).
Drury shoots left. Cates is 43.1% vs left-shot opponents (564).
Home / Away
Drury
Cates
Home
58.0% (429)
46.2% (468)
Away
59.2% (448)
43.9% (449)
By Period
Drury
Cates
P1
58.6%
46.0%
P2
57.9%
47.5%
P3
59.2%
42.1%
OT
60.0%
18.2%
Final 5 min
51.4%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
60.0%▲
57.0%
58.6%
Cates
50.0%▲
45.5%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2026 | 3 | 17:51 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 3 | 11:11 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 2 | 11:54 | Defensive | Jack Drury |