Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +12.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Drury on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Drury wins 63.8% vs right-shot opponents — Kapanen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 57.7% vs Kapanen 47.1% (+12.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Drury 70.6%
Defensive zone
Drury 94.7%
Neutral zone
Drury 90.7%
Result
Jack Drury favored at 89.1%
89.1%
10.9%
Drury
Kapanen
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Drury
Kapanen
Last 5: Drury 4-1 Kapanen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Drury
1
0
Drury
Kapanen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Drury
2
1
Drury
Kapanen
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Drury
1
0
Drury
Kapanen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Kapanen
Edge
Even Strength
60.7% (702)
46.5% (527)
+14.2%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
54.8% (42)
-14.8%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (165)
39.5% (38)
+11.4%
On power play, Kapanen has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kapanen shoots right. Drury is 63.8% vs right-shot opponents (340).
Drury shoots left. Kapanen is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (449).
Home / Away
Drury
Kapanen
Home
58.0% (429)
47.0% (315)
Away
59.2% (448)
46.2% (292)
By Period
Drury
Kapanen
P1
58.6%
41.6%
P2
57.9%
50.7%
P3
59.2%
47.6%
OT
60.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
51.4%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
60.0%▲
57.0%
58.6%
Kapanen
32.0%▼
47.0%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 19:16 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 15:07 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 09:22 | Defensive | Oliver Kapanen |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 08:12 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 04:45 | Defensive | Jack Drury |