Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +11.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Drury on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Drury wins 64.1% vs right-shot opponents — Kapanen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 58.1% vs Kapanen 48.5% (+11.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Drury 60.7%
Defensive zone
Drury 93.7%
Neutral zone
Drury 85.9%
Result
Jack Drury favored at 85.6%
85.6%
14.4%
Drury
Kapanen
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Drury
Kapanen
Last 5: Drury 4-1 Kapanen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Drury
1
0
Drury
Kapanen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Drury
2
1
Drury
Kapanen
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Drury
1
0
Drury
Kapanen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Kapanen
Edge
Even Strength
61.8% (510)
48.4% (450)
+13.4%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
54.1% (37)
-9.7%
Penalty Kill
50.4% (125)
37.5% (32)
+12.9%
On even strength, Drury has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kapanen shoots right. Drury is 64.1% vs right-shot opponents (256).
Drury shoots left. Kapanen is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (383).
Home / Away
Drury
Kapanen
Home
60.3% (317)
48.1% (266)
Away
58.4% (327)
48.2% (253)
By Period
Drury
Kapanen
P1
59.7%
42.0%
P2
57.7%
52.9%
P3
60.4%
49.4%
OT
60.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
49.4%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
68.0%▲
63.5%
59.3%
Kapanen
58.0%▲
47.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 19:16 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 15:07 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 09:22 | Defensive | Oliver Kapanen |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 08:12 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 04:45 | Defensive | Jack Drury |