Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Drury on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Drury wins 58.7% vs right-shot opponents — Kapanen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 57.0% vs Kapanen 46.8% (+11.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Drury 76.7%
Defensive zone
Drury 93.1%
Neutral zone
Drury 90.6%
Result
Jack Drury favored at 89.3%
89.3%
10.7%
Drury
Kapanen
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Drury
Kapanen
Last 5: Drury 4-1 Kapanen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Drury
1
0
Drury
Kapanen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Drury
2
1
Drury
Kapanen
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Drury
1
0
Drury
Kapanen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Kapanen
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (2,010)
46.3% (572)
+11.6%
Power Play
58.5% (118)
50.9% (53)
+7.6%
Penalty Kill
53.0% (300)
39.5% (38)
+13.5%
On penalty kill, Drury has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kapanen shoots right. Drury is 58.7% vs right-shot opponents (841).
Drury shoots left. Kapanen is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (493).
Home / Away
Drury
Kapanen
Home
57.9% (1,234)
46.3% (348)
Away
56.7% (1,194)
46.3% (315)
By Period
Drury
Kapanen
P1
55.9%
41.7%
P2
58.7%
49.6%
P3
57.1%
47.5%
OT
62.5%
25.0%
Final 5 min
53.9%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
60.0%▲
57.0%
57.3%
Kapanen
32.0%▼
47.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 19:16 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 15:07 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 09:22 | Defensive | Oliver Kapanen |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 08:12 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 04:45 | Defensive | Jack Drury |