Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Drury wins 63.8% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 57.7% vs Carrick 54.2% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Drury 76.6%
Defensive zone
Drury 55.6%
Neutral zone
Drury 75.8%
Result
Jack Drury favored at 76.2%
76.2%
23.8%
Drury
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Drury
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Drury
1
0
Drury
Carrick
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Drury
1
0
Drury
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
60.7% (702)
55.5% (470)
+5.2%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
66.7% (3)
-26.7%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (165)
50.0% (58)
+0.9%
On power play, Carrick has a +26.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Drury is 63.8% vs right-shot opponents (340).
Drury shoots left. Carrick is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (387).
Home / Away
Drury
Carrick
Home
58.0% (429)
58.6% (261)
Away
59.2% (448)
51.5% (270)
By Period
Drury
Carrick
P1
58.6%
55.9%
P2
57.9%
53.5%
P3
59.2%
55.6%
OT
60.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.4%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
60.0%▲
57.0%
58.6%
Carrick
60.0%▲
57.0%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 03:02 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3 | 10:48 | Neutral | Jack Drury |