Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Drury on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Drury wins 58.7% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 57.0% vs Carrick 52.2% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Drury 69.4%
Defensive zone
Carrick 83.2%
Neutral zone
Carrick 61.9%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 56.2%
43.8%
56.2%
Drury
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Drury
Carrick
Last 9: Drury 4-5 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
1
2
Drury
Carrick
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
2
Drury
Carrick
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Drury
3
1
Drury
Carrick
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (2,010)
52.2% (2,544)
+5.7%
Power Play
58.5% (118)
61.3% (75)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
53.0% (300)
50.8% (435)
+2.2%
On even strength, Drury has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Drury is 58.7% vs right-shot opponents (841).
Drury shoots left. Carrick is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (2,211).
Home / Away
Drury
Carrick
Home
57.9% (1,234)
51.5% (1,477)
Away
56.7% (1,194)
53.0% (1,577)
By Period
Drury
Carrick
P1
55.9%
51.8%
P2
58.7%
52.3%
P3
57.1%
52.6%
OT
62.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.9%
49.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
60.0%▲
57.0%
57.3%
Carrick
60.0%▲
57.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 03:02 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3 | 10:48 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Jan 26, 2025 | 2 | 02:28 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Jan 26, 2025 | 1 | 11:37 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 3 | 16:20 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 2 | 14:30 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 2 | 08:03 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 1 | 06:24 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Oct 15, 2023 | 1 | 09:07 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |