Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Drury wins 59.7% vs left-shot opponents — Lorentz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 51.8% vs Lorentz 48.2% (+5.3%)
Offensive zone
Drury 56.7%
Defensive zone
Lorentz 77.0%
Neutral zone
Lorentz 50.3%
Result
Steven Lorentz favored at 56.9%
43.1%
56.9%
Drury
Lorentz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (114)
48.3% (497)
+6.1%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
63.6% (11)
-8.0%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (3)
38.5% (39)
-38.5%
On penalty kill, Lorentz has a +38.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Drury is 59.7% vs left-shot opponents (72).
Drury shoots left. Lorentz is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (344).
Home / Away
Drury
Lorentz
Home
50.0% (68)
50.4% (238)
Away
56.9% (58)
46.0% (309)
By Period
Drury
Lorentz
P1
39.5%
49.1%
P2
57.1%
48.0%
P3
60.4%
47.2%
Final 5 min
59.5%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
68.0%▲
63.5%
53.2%
Lorentz
58.0%▲
47.5%
47.9%