Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Drury wins 56.5% vs left-shot opponents — Lorentz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 57.0% vs Lorentz 48.5% (+8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lorentz 59.9%
Defensive zone
Lorentz 61.0%
Neutral zone
Lorentz 57.5%
Result
Steven Lorentz favored at 58.9%
41.1%
58.9%
Drury
Lorentz
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Drury
Lorentz
Last 7: Drury 3-4 Lorentz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Drury
1
0
Drury
Lorentz
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lorentz
0
2
Drury
Lorentz
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Drury
Lorentz
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (2,010)
48.9% (1,125)
+9.0%
Power Play
58.5% (118)
50.0% (26)
+8.5%
Penalty Kill
53.0% (300)
41.8% (91)
+11.2%
On penalty kill, Drury has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Drury is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,586).
Drury shoots left. Lorentz is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (784).
Home / Away
Drury
Lorentz
Home
57.9% (1,234)
50.6% (609)
Away
56.7% (1,194)
46.3% (633)
By Period
Drury
Lorentz
P1
55.9%
53.0%
P2
58.7%
46.7%
P3
57.1%
46.2%
OT
62.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
53.9%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
60.0%▲
57.0%
57.3%
Lorentz
48.0%▬
48.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2023 | 3 | 02:12 | Neutral | Steven Lorentz |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 3 | 02:07 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 2 | 08:55 | Neutral | Steven Lorentz |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 2 | 05:35 | Defensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 2 | 01:51 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 1 | 16:03 | Defensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 1 | 09:47 | Neutral | Jack Drury |