Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Drury wins 58.9% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 56.9% vs Hertl 55.4% (+1.9%)
Offensive zone
Hertl 71.8%
Defensive zone
Drury 73.0%
Neutral zone
Hertl 55.0%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Drury
Hertl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (592)
54.1% (717)
+3.8%
Power Play
67.4% (46)
61.9% (210)
+5.5%
Penalty Kill
52.8% (108)
58.1% (31)
-5.3%
On power play, Drury has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Drury is 58.9% vs left-shot opponents (530).
Drury shoots left. Hertl is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Drury
Hertl
Home
59.3% (364)
58.1% (492)
Away
56.3% (382)
53.6% (466)
By Period
Drury
Hertl
P1
53.9%
57.1%
P2
60.5%
54.0%
P3
58.3%
56.6%
OT
66.7%
66.7%
Final 5 min
55.6%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
72.0%▲
59.0%
57.8%
Hertl
64.0%▲
60.0%
55.9%