Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall. Drury wins 63.8% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 57.7% vs Johnston 48.0% (+10.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnston 88.2%
Defensive zone
Johnston 77.3%
Neutral zone
Johnston 86.1%
Result
Wyatt Johnston favored at 80.2%
19.8%
80.2%
Drury
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Drury
Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
0
2
Drury
Johnston
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnston
0
1
Drury
Johnston
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
60.7% (702)
47.3% (666)
+13.4%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
50.7% (69)
-10.7%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (165)
51.4% (35)
-0.5%
On even strength, Drury has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Drury is 63.8% vs right-shot opponents (340).
Drury shoots left. Johnston is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (567).
Home / Away
Drury
Johnston
Home
58.0% (429)
47.5% (364)
Away
59.2% (448)
48.0% (406)
By Period
Drury
Johnston
P1
58.6%
49.4%
P2
57.9%
46.9%
P3
59.2%
47.1%
OT
60.0%
47.1%
Final 5 min
51.4%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
60.0%▲
57.0%
58.6%
Johnston
40.0%▼
49.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | 3 | 04:26 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 3 | 16:48 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 16:49 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |