Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnston on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Drury wins 58.7% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 57.0% vs Johnston 49.0% (+8.4%)
H2H factor
Johnston leads 9-1 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Johnston 92.2%
Defensive zone
Johnston 85.7%
Neutral zone
Johnston 92.2%
Result
Wyatt Johnston favored at 90.2%
9.8%
90.2%
Drury
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
9
(10 meetings)
1
9
Drury
Johnston
Last 10: Drury 1-9 Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
0
1
Drury
Johnston
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
0
3
Drury
Johnston
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnston
1
5
Drury
Johnston
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (2,010)
49.1% (2,232)
+8.8%
Power Play
58.5% (118)
52.5% (179)
+6.0%
Penalty Kill
53.0% (300)
44.7% (237)
+8.3%
On even strength, Drury has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Drury is 58.7% vs right-shot opponents (841).
Drury shoots left. Johnston is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,999).
Home / Away
Drury
Johnston
Home
57.9% (1,234)
49.2% (1,332)
Away
56.7% (1,194)
48.7% (1,316)
By Period
Drury
Johnston
P1
55.9%
50.0%
P2
58.7%
48.1%
P3
57.1%
48.6%
OT
62.5%
51.5%
Final 5 min
53.9%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
60.0%▲
57.0%
57.3%
Johnston
40.0%▼
49.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | 3 | 04:26 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 3 | 16:48 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 16:49 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 16, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 2 | 14:59 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 2 | 03:13 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 2 | 17:14 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 2 | 17:08 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 1 | 08:25 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |