Scouting Report
Jack Eichel holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Carlsson on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 48.2% vs Carlsson 44.6% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Carlsson leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Carlsson 68.3%
Defensive zone
Carlsson 66.4%
Neutral zone
Carlsson 67.6%
Result
Leo Carlsson favored at 67.1%
32.9%
67.1%
Eichel
Carlsson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
10
(14 meetings)
4
10
Eichel
Carlsson
Last 10: Eichel 3-7 Carlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
1
0
Eichel
Carlsson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carlsson
2
5
Eichel
Carlsson
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carlsson
1
5
Eichel
Carlsson
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Carlsson
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (909)
45.0% (695)
+3.2%
Power Play
55.2% (67)
46.4% (84)
+8.8%
Penalty Kill
41.2% (97)
32.9% (85)
+8.3%
On power play, Eichel has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carlsson shoots left. Eichel is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (761).
Eichel shoots right. Carlsson is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (291).
Home / Away
Eichel
Carlsson
Home
48.0% (564)
42.5% (435)
Away
47.9% (509)
45.5% (429)
By Period
Eichel
Carlsson
P1
49.8%
45.3%
P2
48.6%
38.7%
P3
46.7%
48.5%
OT
37.5%
41.7%
Final 5 min
54.1%
38.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.0%
Carlsson
32.0%▼
39.0%
44.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 10:20 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 03:38 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 16:18 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 13:50 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 18:42 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 18:30 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 8, 2025 | OT | 04:16 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 8, 2025 | OT | 02:33 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 8, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 17:34 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 17:26 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 08:48 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 00:25 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |