Scouting Report
Jack Eichel holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Carlsson on defensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Eichel wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Carlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 45.2% vs Carlsson 41.1% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Carlsson leads 14-8 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Carlsson 75.5%
Defensive zone
Carlsson 71.3%
Neutral zone
Carlsson 71.4%
Result
Leo Carlsson favored at 71.9%
28.1%
71.9%
Eichel
Carlsson
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
14
(22 meetings)
8
14
Eichel
Carlsson
Last 10: Eichel 3-7 Carlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
3
0
Eichel
Carlsson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carlsson
2
7
Eichel
Carlsson
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carlsson
3
7
Eichel
Carlsson
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Carlsson
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (8,513)
40.9% (1,878)
+3.9%
Power Play
52.7% (929)
42.9% (156)
+9.8%
Penalty Kill
37.8% (550)
34.7% (121)
+3.1%
On power play, Eichel has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carlsson shoots left. Eichel is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (7,079).
Eichel shoots right. Carlsson is 41.7% vs right-shot opponents (643).
Home / Away
Eichel
Carlsson
Home
45.8% (4,954)
42.2% (1,051)
Away
44.5% (5,038)
39.2% (1,104)
By Period
Eichel
Carlsson
P1
45.5%
43.3%
P2
45.8%
36.2%
P3
44.1%
43.3%
OT
44.1%
40.7%
Final 5 min
46.1%
39.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.1%
Carlsson
32.0%▼
39.0%
40.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 10:20 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 03:38 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 16:18 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 13:50 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 18:42 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 18:30 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 8, 2025 | OT | 04:16 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 8, 2025 | OT | 02:33 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 8, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 17:34 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 17:26 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 08:48 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 00:25 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 2 | 15:40 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 1 | 12:15 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Apr 18, 2024 | 3 | 15:29 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Apr 18, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Apr 18, 2024 | 2 | 13:26 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Apr 18, 2024 | 2 | 08:38 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |