Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 48.2% vs MacKinnon 51.0% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
MacKinnon leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 54.1%
Defensive zone
Eichel 67.2%
Neutral zone
Eichel 56.4%
Result
Jack Eichel favored at 58.6%
58.6%
41.4%
Eichel
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Eichel
MacKinnon
Last 10: Eichel 4-6 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
2
Eichel
MacKinnon
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Eichel
MacKinnon
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Eichel
MacKinnon
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (909)
49.7% (1,038)
-1.5%
Power Play
55.2% (67)
63.7% (157)
-8.5%
Penalty Kill
41.2% (97)
34.4% (32)
+6.8%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Eichel is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (312).
Eichel shoots right. MacKinnon is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Eichel
MacKinnon
Home
48.0% (564)
53.1% (618)
Away
47.9% (509)
49.1% (609)
By Period
Eichel
MacKinnon
P1
49.8%
49.3%
P2
48.6%
53.0%
P3
46.7%
50.7%
OT
37.5%
66.7%
Final 5 min
54.1%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.0%
MacKinnon
44.0%▼
50.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2025 | 3 | 12:47 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 3 | 03:18 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 3 | 02:51 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 3 | 00:16 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 2 | 19:35 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 2 | 15:50 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 2 | 15:35 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |