Jack Eichel vs Nathan MacKinnon
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 17 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 45.2% vs MacKinnon 46.8% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
MacKinnon leads 39-34 in 73 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 51.6%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 51.8%
Neutral zone
Eichel 50.5%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Eichel
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
34
-
39
(73 meetings)
34
39
Eichel
MacKinnon
Last 10: Eichel 4-6 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
10
10
Eichel
MacKinnon
20 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
5
12
Eichel
MacKinnon
17 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eichel
19
17
Eichel
MacKinnon
36 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (8,513)
46.1% (11,264)
-1.3%
Power Play
52.7% (929)
53.2% (1,421)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
37.8% (550)
42.8% (502)
-5.0%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Eichel is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,913).
Eichel shoots right. MacKinnon is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (3,651).
Home / Away
Eichel
MacKinnon
Home
45.8% (4,954)
49.7% (6,471)
Away
44.5% (5,038)
43.9% (6,717)
By Period
Eichel
MacKinnon
P1
45.5%
47.4%
P2
45.8%
46.6%
P3
44.1%
46.1%
OT
44.1%
48.4%
Final 5 min
46.1%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.1%
MacKinnon
44.0%▼
50.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2025 | 3 | 12:47 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 3 | 03:18 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 3 | 02:51 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 3 | 00:16 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 2 | 19:35 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 2 | 15:50 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 2 | 15:35 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 27, 2024 | OT | 03:21 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 05:32 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 2 | 02:49 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 13:59 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 10:51 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 04:39 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 00:45 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 9, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 9, 2024 | 2 | 16:28 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 9, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |