Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 45.9% vs Dowd 49.9% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eichel 91.8%
Defensive zone
Dowd 76.2%
Neutral zone
Dowd 54.9%
Result
Jack Eichel favored at 53.6%
53.6%
46.4%
Eichel
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Eichel
Dowd
Last 6: Eichel 3-3 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
2
0
Eichel
Dowd
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
2
Eichel
Dowd
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Eichel
Dowd
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (1,044)
52.2% (835)
-6.3%
Power Play
55.9% (59)
60.0% (10)
-4.1%
Penalty Kill
39.7% (151)
44.0% (350)
-4.3%
On even strength, Dowd has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Eichel is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Eichel shoots right. Dowd is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (362).
Home / Away
Eichel
Dowd
Home
46.5% (606)
51.5% (619)
Away
44.8% (648)
48.1% (576)
By Period
Eichel
Dowd
P1
47.2%
51.7%
P2
46.9%
51.6%
P3
42.7%
47.0%
OT
42.9%
22.2%
Final 5 min
41.4%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
48.0%▲
46.5%
45.6%
Dowd
48.0%▼
54.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2024 | 3 | 12:07 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 2 | 16:00 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 2 | 15:52 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 1 | 09:50 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 2 | 03:27 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 2 | 03:06 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |