Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.0% vs 48.5%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 48.2% vs Dowd 48.6% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eichel 86.7%
Defensive zone
Dowd 81.9%
Neutral zone
Eichel 51.1%
Result
Jack Eichel favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Eichel
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Eichel
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
1
0
Eichel
Dowd
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Eichel
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (909)
51.0% (671)
-2.8%
Power Play
55.2% (67)
0.0% (2)
+55.2%
Penalty Kill
41.2% (97)
41.5% (224)
-0.3%
On power play, Eichel has a +55.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Eichel is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (312).
Eichel shoots right. Dowd is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (326).
Home / Away
Eichel
Dowd
Home
48.0% (564)
48.2% (471)
Away
47.9% (509)
48.8% (426)
By Period
Eichel
Dowd
P1
49.8%
48.3%
P2
48.6%
46.8%
P3
46.7%
51.0%
OT
37.5%
30.0%
Final 5 min
54.1%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.0%
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | 3 | 08:15 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 1 | 14:49 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |