Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 48.2% vs Foligno 49.9% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eichel 71.1%
Defensive zone
Foligno 60.3%
Neutral zone
Eichel 52.2%
Result
Jack Eichel favored at 55.4%
55.4%
44.6%
Eichel
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Eichel
Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
1
0
Eichel
Foligno
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
1
Eichel
Foligno
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (909)
49.5% (291)
-1.3%
Power Play
55.2% (67)
55.8% (43)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
41.2% (97)
47.2% (53)
-6.0%
On penalty kill, Foligno has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Eichel is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (761).
Eichel shoots right. Foligno is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (179).
Home / Away
Eichel
Foligno
Home
48.0% (564)
48.9% (178)
Away
47.9% (509)
50.7% (209)
By Period
Eichel
Foligno
P1
49.8%
43.0%
P2
48.6%
55.9%
P3
46.7%
50.0%
OT
37.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
54.1%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.0%
Foligno
54.0%▲
50.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2026 | 3 | 18:41 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 3 | 07:40 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |