Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Foligno on defensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings). Eichel wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 45.2% vs Foligno 48.6% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Foligno leads 13-11 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Eichel 56.2%
Defensive zone
Eichel 56.2%
Neutral zone
Eichel 57.9%
Result
Jack Eichel favored at 56.6%
56.6%
43.4%
Eichel
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
13
(24 meetings)
11
13
Eichel
Foligno
Last 10: Eichel 7-3 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
5
3
Eichel
Foligno
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
3
7
Eichel
Foligno
10 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Eichel
Foligno
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (8,513)
48.3% (2,840)
-3.5%
Power Play
52.7% (929)
52.3% (731)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
37.8% (550)
44.0% (457)
-6.2%
On penalty kill, Foligno has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Eichel is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (7,079).
Eichel shoots right. Foligno is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (1,518).
Home / Away
Eichel
Foligno
Home
45.8% (4,954)
49.9% (2,013)
Away
44.5% (5,038)
47.2% (2,017)
By Period
Eichel
Foligno
P1
45.5%
47.8%
P2
45.8%
50.5%
P3
44.1%
48.2%
OT
44.1%
29.7%
Final 5 min
46.1%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.1%
Foligno
54.0%▲
50.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2026 | 3 | 18:41 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 3 | 07:40 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 1 | 19:47 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 3 | 10:23 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 2 | 01:22 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 3 | 17:42 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 3 | 07:20 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 3 | 06:49 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 2 | 08:23 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 02:21 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 3 | 13:38 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 7, 2019 | OT | 01:38 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Jan 29, 2019 | 3 | 18:55 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 29, 2019 | 3 | 18:47 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 20, 2017 | 2 | 08:33 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 20, 2017 | 2 | 00:24 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 20, 2017 | 2 | 00:18 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 20, 2017 | 1 | 00:33 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 25, 2017 | 3 | 18:36 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |