Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Eichel wins 43.5% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 45.9% vs Paul 50.0% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paul 55.3%
Defensive zone
Paul 71.6%
Neutral zone
Paul 69.2%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 62.3%
37.7%
62.3%
Eichel
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Eichel
Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Eichel
Paul
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eichel
2
0
Eichel
Paul
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (1,044)
48.8% (666)
-2.9%
Power Play
55.9% (59)
53.8% (65)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
39.7% (151)
60.0% (55)
-20.3%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +20.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Eichel is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (913).
Eichel shoots right. Paul is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (243).
Home / Away
Eichel
Paul
Home
46.5% (606)
49.7% (348)
Away
44.8% (648)
50.2% (438)
By Period
Eichel
Paul
P1
47.2%
51.0%
P2
46.9%
47.4%
P3
42.7%
51.5%
OT
42.9%
0.0%
Final 5 min
41.4%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.6%
Paul
54.0%▼
56.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2025 | 3 | 04:41 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 3 | 14:52 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 2 | 17:47 | Offensive | Nick Paul |