Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Paul on offensive-zone draws (53% H2H, 15 meetings). Eichel wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 45.2% vs Paul 52.2% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Eichel leads 19-18 in 37 meetings
Offensive zone
Eichel 54.9%
Defensive zone
Paul 70.4%
Neutral zone
Paul 60.7%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 56.2%
43.8%
56.2%
Eichel
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
18
(37 meetings)
19
18
Eichel
Paul
Last 10: Eichel 5-5 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paul
7
8
Eichel
Paul
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
4
3
Eichel
Paul
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eichel
8
7
Eichel
Paul
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (8,513)
52.6% (3,823)
-7.8%
Power Play
52.7% (929)
56.2% (484)
-3.5%
Penalty Kill
37.8% (550)
46.9% (576)
-9.1%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Eichel is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (7,079).
Eichel shoots right. Paul is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,791).
Home / Away
Eichel
Paul
Home
45.8% (4,954)
52.8% (2,445)
Away
44.5% (5,038)
51.7% (2,439)
By Period
Eichel
Paul
P1
45.5%
53.8%
P2
45.8%
51.0%
P3
44.1%
52.2%
OT
44.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.1%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.1%
Paul
54.0%▼
56.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2025 | 3 | 04:41 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 3 | 14:52 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 2 | 17:47 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 3 | 16:26 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 3 | 16:14 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 3 | 03:44 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 2 | 16:52 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 1 | 13:21 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 1 | 08:49 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 3 | 03:50 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 1 | 02:02 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 1 | 00:18 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 07:23 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 2 | 14:01 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 09:51 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 19:44 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 11:46 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 1 | 14:20 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 1 | 10:51 | Neutral | Nick Paul |