Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Eichel on offensive-zone draws (69% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 48.2% vs O'Reilly 55.0% (-7.4%)
H2H factor
Eichel leads 19-15 in 34 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 70.1%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 72.3%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 73.3%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 71.7%
28.3%
71.7%
Eichel
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
15
(34 meetings)
19
15
Eichel
O'Reilly
Last 10: Eichel 6-4 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
9
4
Eichel
O'Reilly
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
6
7
Eichel
O'Reilly
13 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Eichel
O'Reilly
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (909)
55.7% (856)
-7.5%
Power Play
55.2% (67)
57.5% (233)
-2.3%
Penalty Kill
41.2% (97)
50.0% (144)
-8.8%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Eichel is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (761).
Eichel shoots right. O'Reilly is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (530).
Home / Away
Eichel
O'Reilly
Home
48.0% (564)
55.5% (616)
Away
47.9% (509)
55.3% (617)
By Period
Eichel
O'Reilly
P1
49.8%
58.1%
P2
48.6%
54.9%
P3
46.7%
53.9%
OT
37.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.1%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.0%
O'Reilly
54.0%▬
55.0%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 15:12 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 10:38 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 06:14 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 18:20 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 15:13 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 14:37 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 02:29 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 00:31 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 16:26 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 03:42 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 01:23 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 00:38 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 11:19 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 11:13 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 06:01 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 05:52 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 03:06 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 18:22 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 17:17 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |