Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 42 meetings). Eichel wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 45.2% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-10.9%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 64-49 in 113 meetings
Offensive zone
Eichel 77.5%
Defensive zone
Eichel 85.8%
Neutral zone
Eichel 88.6%
Result
Jack Eichel favored at 84.2%
84.2%
15.8%
Eichel
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
49
-
64
(113 meetings)
49
64
Eichel
O'Reilly
Last 10: Eichel 6-4 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
20
14
Eichel
O'Reilly
34 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
14
28
Eichel
O'Reilly
42 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
15
22
Eichel
O'Reilly
37 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (8,513)
56.2% (15,290)
-11.4%
Power Play
52.7% (929)
58.7% (3,457)
-6.0%
Penalty Kill
37.8% (550)
51.4% (2,826)
-13.6%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Eichel is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (7,079).
Eichel shoots right. O'Reilly is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (7,705).
Home / Away
Eichel
O'Reilly
Home
45.8% (4,954)
57.6% (10,799)
Away
44.5% (5,038)
54.4% (10,807)
By Period
Eichel
O'Reilly
P1
45.5%
55.6%
P2
45.8%
57.0%
P3
44.1%
55.0%
OT
44.1%
62.2%
Final 5 min
46.1%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.1%
O'Reilly
54.0%▬
55.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 15:12 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 10:38 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 06:14 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 18:20 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 15:13 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 14:37 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 02:29 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 00:31 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 16:26 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 03:42 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 01:23 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 00:38 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 11:19 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 11:13 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 06:01 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 05:52 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 03:06 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 18:22 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 17:17 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |