Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 48.2% vs Aho 50.5% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Aho leads 14-13 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 51.4%
Defensive zone
Eichel 69.8%
Neutral zone
Eichel 52.2%
Result
Jack Eichel favored at 59.2%
59.2%
40.8%
Eichel
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
14
(27 meetings)
13
14
Eichel
Aho
Last 10: Eichel 4-6 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
3
8
Eichel
Aho
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
7
6
Eichel
Aho
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eichel
3
0
Eichel
Aho
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (909)
50.5% (878)
-2.3%
Power Play
55.2% (67)
53.5% (144)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
41.2% (97)
44.3% (61)
-3.1%
On penalty kill, Aho has a +3.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Eichel is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (761).
Eichel shoots right. Aho is 55.5% vs right-shot opponents (380).
Home / Away
Eichel
Aho
Home
48.0% (564)
53.8% (571)
Away
47.9% (509)
46.9% (512)
By Period
Eichel
Aho
P1
49.8%
49.0%
P2
48.6%
51.7%
P3
46.7%
50.3%
OT
37.5%
58.8%
Final 5 min
54.1%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.0%
Aho
60.0%▲
50.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 17:36 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 13:33 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 10:27 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 08:39 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 01:34 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 01:28 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 19:07 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 08:05 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 04:19 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 00:29 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 00:23 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 14:17 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 03:44 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 3 | 17:31 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 3 | 17:14 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 3 | 17:08 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 3 | 10:33 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 3 | 10:25 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 3 | 03:37 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 3 | 00:09 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |