Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (64% H2H, 39 meetings). Eichel wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 45.2% vs Aho 51.3% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Aho leads 59-52 in 111 meetings
Offensive zone
Eichel 72.3%
Defensive zone
Eichel 69.9%
Neutral zone
Eichel 65.2%
Result
Jack Eichel favored at 69.4%
69.4%
30.6%
Eichel
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
52
-
59
(111 meetings)
52
59
Eichel
Aho
Last 10: Eichel 4-6 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
14
25
Eichel
Aho
39 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
21
19
Eichel
Aho
40 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eichel
17
15
Eichel
Aho
32 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (8,513)
50.2% (6,646)
-5.4%
Power Play
52.7% (929)
58.9% (1,310)
-6.2%
Penalty Kill
37.8% (550)
46.5% (465)
-8.7%
On penalty kill, Aho has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Eichel is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (7,079).
Eichel shoots right. Aho is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,104).
Home / Away
Eichel
Aho
Home
45.8% (4,954)
52.4% (4,325)
Away
44.5% (5,038)
50.1% (4,096)
By Period
Eichel
Aho
P1
45.5%
51.1%
P2
45.8%
52.1%
P3
44.1%
50.8%
OT
44.1%
48.9%
Final 5 min
46.1%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.1%
Aho
60.0%▲
50.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 17:36 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 13:33 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 10:27 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 08:39 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 01:34 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 01:28 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 19:07 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 08:05 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 04:19 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 00:29 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 00:23 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 14:17 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 03:44 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 3 | 17:31 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 3 | 17:14 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 3 | 17:08 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 3 | 10:33 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 3 | 10:25 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 3 | 03:37 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 3 | 00:09 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |