Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Finley wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Stenlund shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Finley 50.3% vs Stenlund 53.9% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stenlund 51.6%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 80.5%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 67.4%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 69.5%
30.5%
69.5%
Finley
Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Finley
Stenlund
Last 5: Finley 4-1 Stenlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Finley
1
0
Finley
Stenlund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Finley
2
0
Finley
Stenlund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Finley
Stenlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Finley
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (284)
55.3% (2,738)
-4.9%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
52.6% (116)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
51.5% (33)
50.4% (924)
+1.1%
On even strength, Stenlund has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Finley is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (84).
Finley shoots right. Stenlund is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (932).
Home / Away
Finley
Stenlund
Home
53.8% (199)
54.3% (1,873)
Away
45.5% (132)
53.8% (1,905)
By Period
Finley
Stenlund
P1
52.8%
56.2%
P2
47.5%
53.3%
P3
51.6%
53.0%
OT
50.0%
52.9%
Final 5 min
48.3%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Finley
62.0%▲
51.5%
50.5%
Stenlund
56.0%▼
59.0%
54.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2026 | 2 | 14:05 | Offensive | Jack Finley |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 2 | 09:38 | Defensive | Jack Finley |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 1 | 10:32 | Defensive | Jack Finley |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 1 | 02:33 | Neutral | Jack Finley |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 1 | 02:27 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |