Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Finley 50.2% vs Draisaitl 56.4% (-6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 83.9%
Defensive zone
Finley 79.8%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 50.2%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 58.4%
41.6%
58.4%
Finley
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Finley
Draisaitl
Last 5: Finley 2-3 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
3
Finley
Draisaitl
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Finley
2
0
Finley
Draisaitl
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Finley
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (279)
55.9% (835)
-5.7%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
61.8% (228)
-11.8%
Penalty Kill
51.5% (33)
50.0% (40)
+1.5%
On power play, Draisaitl has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Finley is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (243).
Finley shoots right. Draisaitl is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (395).
Home / Away
Finley
Draisaitl
Home
53.8% (199)
55.1% (508)
Away
44.9% (127)
58.5% (595)
By Period
Finley
Draisaitl
P1
52.8%
55.8%
P2
47.5%
55.7%
P3
51.3%
59.0%
OT
50.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
48.8%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Finley
62.0%▲
51.5%
50.3%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2026 | 2 | 18:46 | Defensive | Jack Finley |
| Mar 13, 2026 | 2 | 08:15 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 13, 2026 | 2 | 08:08 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 13, 2026 | 1 | 07:15 | Defensive | Jack Finley |
| Mar 13, 2026 | 1 | 04:16 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |