Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Finley 50.3% vs Draisaitl 53.3% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 73.3%
Defensive zone
Finley 77.2%
Neutral zone
Finley 54.2%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
Finley
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Finley
Draisaitl
Last 5: Finley 2-3 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
3
Finley
Draisaitl
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Finley
2
0
Finley
Draisaitl
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Finley
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (284)
52.9% (10,240)
-2.5%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
55.7% (2,827)
-5.7%
Penalty Kill
51.5% (33)
51.2% (977)
+0.3%
On power play, Draisaitl has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Finley is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (247).
Finley shoots right. Draisaitl is 56.4% vs right-shot opponents (5,098).
Home / Away
Finley
Draisaitl
Home
53.8% (199)
54.6% (7,049)
Away
45.5% (132)
52.0% (6,995)
By Period
Finley
Draisaitl
P1
52.8%
52.7%
P2
47.5%
53.6%
P3
51.6%
53.4%
OT
50.0%
57.0%
Final 5 min
48.3%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Finley
62.0%▲
51.5%
50.5%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
53.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2026 | 2 | 18:46 | Defensive | Jack Finley |
| Mar 13, 2026 | 2 | 08:15 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 13, 2026 | 2 | 08:08 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 13, 2026 | 1 | 07:15 | Defensive | Jack Finley |
| Mar 13, 2026 | 1 | 04:16 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |