Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.9% vs 50.2%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Finley 50.7% vs Rossi 50.2% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rossi 72.8%
Defensive zone
Finley 68.8%
Neutral zone
Rossi 54.3%
Result
Jack Finley favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Finley
Rossi
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Finley
Rossi
Last 5: Finley 2-3 Rossi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
0
1
Finley
Rossi
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Finley
Rossi
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Finley
Rossi
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Finley
Rossi
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (270)
52.3% (428)
-1.6%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
35.1% (37)
+14.9%
Penalty Kill
53.1% (32)
37.0% (27)
+16.1%
On penalty kill, Finley has a +16.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rossi shoots left. Finley is 50.2% vs left-shot opponents (233).
Finley shoots right. Rossi is 48.0% vs right-shot opponents (150).
Home / Away
Finley
Rossi
Home
53.8% (199)
50.0% (260)
Away
46.2% (117)
50.4% (232)
By Period
Finley
Rossi
P1
54.7%
55.0%
P2
47.4%
47.9%
P3
51.8%
47.7%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
49.4%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Finley
64.0%▲
53.5%
50.9%
Rossi
52.0%▬
52.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 19:12 | Neutral | Jack Finley |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 16:08 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 11:06 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 05:58 | Defensive | Jack Finley |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |