Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.3% vs 49.6%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Finley 50.2% vs Rossi 49.7% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rossi 73.5%
Defensive zone
Finley 68.0%
Neutral zone
Rossi 55.2%
Result
Jack Finley favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Finley
Rossi
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Finley
Rossi
Last 5: Finley 2-3 Rossi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
0
1
Finley
Rossi
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Finley
Rossi
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Finley
Rossi
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Finley
Rossi
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (279)
51.6% (440)
-1.4%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
35.1% (37)
+14.9%
Penalty Kill
51.5% (33)
37.0% (27)
+14.5%
On power play, Finley has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rossi shoots left. Finley is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (243).
Finley shoots right. Rossi is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (157).
Home / Away
Finley
Rossi
Home
53.8% (199)
50.0% (260)
Away
44.9% (127)
49.2% (244)
By Period
Finley
Rossi
P1
52.8%
53.7%
P2
47.5%
47.6%
P3
51.3%
47.4%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
48.8%
44.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Finley
62.0%▲
51.5%
50.3%
Rossi
46.0%▼
51.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 19:12 | Neutral | Jack Finley |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 16:08 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 11:06 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 05:58 | Defensive | Jack Finley |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |