Scouting Report
Jack Finley holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Finley 50.3% vs Rossi 46.8% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rossi 80.1%
Defensive zone
Finley 61.6%
Neutral zone
Rossi 63.9%
Result
Marco Rossi favored at 57.0%
43.0%
57.0%
Finley
Rossi
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Finley
Rossi
Last 5: Finley 2-3 Rossi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
0
1
Finley
Rossi
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Finley
Rossi
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Finley
Rossi
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Finley
Rossi
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (284)
46.8% (2,180)
+3.6%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
47.1% (189)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
51.5% (33)
34.1% (44)
+17.4%
On penalty kill, Finley has a +17.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rossi shoots left. Finley is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (247).
Finley shoots right. Rossi is 43.7% vs right-shot opponents (855).
Home / Away
Finley
Rossi
Home
53.8% (199)
47.8% (1,225)
Away
45.5% (132)
45.4% (1,188)
By Period
Finley
Rossi
P1
52.8%
47.1%
P2
47.5%
44.7%
P3
51.6%
48.2%
OT
50.0%
45.8%
Final 5 min
48.3%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Finley
62.0%▲
51.5%
50.5%
Rossi
46.0%▼
51.0%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 19:12 | Neutral | Jack Finley |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 16:08 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 11:06 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 05:58 | Defensive | Jack Finley |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |