Scouting Report
Jack Finley holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Finley on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Finley 50.2% vs Barron 46.8% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Finley 66.4%
Defensive zone
Barron 72.6%
Neutral zone
Barron 54.4%
Result
Jack Finley favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Finley
Barron
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Finley
Barron
Last 8: Finley 4-4 Barron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barron
0
2
Finley
Barron
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Finley
4
2
Finley
Barron
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Finley
Barron
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (279)
48.6% (381)
+1.6%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
33.3% (3)
+16.7%
Penalty Kill
51.5% (33)
41.7% (187)
+9.8%
On power play, Finley has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barron shoots left. Finley is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (243).
Finley shoots right. Barron is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (175).
Home / Away
Finley
Barron
Home
53.8% (199)
44.4% (306)
Away
44.9% (127)
48.3% (265)
By Period
Finley
Barron
P1
52.8%
45.5%
P2
47.5%
49.8%
P3
51.3%
43.1%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
48.8%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Finley
62.0%▲
51.5%
50.3%
Barron
44.0%▲
41.5%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | 3 | 11:53 | Neutral | Jack Finley |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 1 | 02:31 | Neutral | Morgan Barron |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 18:52 | Neutral | Jack Finley |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 08:49 | Offensive | Morgan Barron |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 06:11 | Offensive | Morgan Barron |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 12:25 | Neutral | Jack Finley |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 10:47 | Neutral | Morgan Barron |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 02:32 | Neutral | Jack Finley |