Scouting Report
Jack Finley holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Finley on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Finley 50.3% vs Barron 48.0% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barron 50.2%
Defensive zone
Barron 64.4%
Neutral zone
Barron 53.3%
Result
Morgan Barron favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Finley
Barron
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Finley
Barron
Last 8: Finley 4-4 Barron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barron
0
2
Finley
Barron
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Finley
4
2
Finley
Barron
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Finley
Barron
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (284)
49.4% (741)
+1.0%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
50.0% (6)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
51.5% (33)
42.3% (222)
+9.2%
On penalty kill, Finley has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barron shoots left. Finley is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (247).
Finley shoots right. Barron is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (317).
Home / Away
Finley
Barron
Home
53.8% (199)
45.2% (480)
Away
45.5% (132)
50.3% (489)
By Period
Finley
Barron
P1
52.8%
48.0%
P2
47.5%
50.7%
P3
51.6%
44.7%
OT
50.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
48.3%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Finley
62.0%▲
51.5%
50.5%
Barron
44.0%▲
41.5%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | 3 | 11:53 | Neutral | Jack Finley |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 1 | 02:31 | Neutral | Morgan Barron |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 18:52 | Neutral | Jack Finley |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 08:49 | Offensive | Morgan Barron |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 06:11 | Offensive | Morgan Barron |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 12:25 | Neutral | Jack Finley |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 10:47 | Neutral | Morgan Barron |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 02:32 | Neutral | Jack Finley |