Scouting Report
Jack Finley holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Finley wins 53.0% vs right-shot opponents — Sundqvist shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Finley 50.2% vs Sundqvist 47.6% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Finley 74.7%
Defensive zone
Finley 70.7%
Neutral zone
Finley 69.1%
Result
Jack Finley favored at 71.6%
71.6%
28.4%
Finley
Sundqvist
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Finley
Sundqvist
Last 5: Finley 4-1 Sundqvist
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Finley
2
0
Finley
Sundqvist
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sundqvist
0
1
Finley
Sundqvist
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Finley
2
0
Finley
Sundqvist
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Finley
Sundqvist
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (279)
46.8% (301)
+3.4%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
80.0% (10)
-30.0%
Penalty Kill
51.5% (33)
43.5% (85)
+8.0%
On power play, Sundqvist has a +30.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sundqvist shoots right. Finley is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (83).
Finley shoots right. Sundqvist is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Home / Away
Finley
Sundqvist
Home
53.8% (199)
46.0% (189)
Away
44.9% (127)
47.8% (207)
By Period
Finley
Sundqvist
P1
52.8%
44.7%
P2
47.5%
47.6%
P3
51.3%
48.6%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
48.8%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Finley
62.0%▲
51.5%
50.3%
Sundqvist
44.0%▼
49.5%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2026 | 3 | 04:20 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Finley |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 2 | 05:02 | Offensive | Jack Finley |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 2 | 01:46 | Offensive | Jack Finley |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 1 | 00:21 | Neutral | Jack Finley |