Scouting Report
Jack Finley holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Finley wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Sundqvist shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Finley 50.3% vs Sundqvist 44.3% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Finley 85.0%
Defensive zone
Finley 81.3%
Neutral zone
Finley 79.9%
Result
Jack Finley favored at 82.2%
82.2%
17.8%
Finley
Sundqvist
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Finley
Sundqvist
Last 5: Finley 4-1 Sundqvist
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Finley
2
0
Finley
Sundqvist
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sundqvist
0
1
Finley
Sundqvist
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Finley
2
0
Finley
Sundqvist
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Finley
Sundqvist
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (284)
44.2% (2,842)
+6.2%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
51.0% (98)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
51.5% (33)
41.6% (385)
+9.9%
On penalty kill, Finley has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sundqvist shoots right. Finley is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (84).
Finley shoots right. Sundqvist is 44.1% vs right-shot opponents (946).
Home / Away
Finley
Sundqvist
Home
53.8% (199)
44.2% (1,584)
Away
45.5% (132)
44.0% (1,741)
By Period
Finley
Sundqvist
P1
52.8%
42.8%
P2
47.5%
45.6%
P3
51.6%
43.7%
OT
50.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
48.3%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Finley
62.0%▲
51.5%
50.5%
Sundqvist
44.0%▼
49.5%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2026 | 3 | 04:20 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Finley |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 2 | 05:02 | Offensive | Jack Finley |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 2 | 01:46 | Offensive | Jack Finley |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 1 | 00:21 | Neutral | Jack Finley |