Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Cirelli on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Cirelli wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Hughes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 46.9% vs Hughes 38.0% (+11.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 77.4%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 95.7%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 88.4%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 88.4%
88.4%
11.6%
Cirelli
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Cirelli
Hughes
Last 6: Cirelli 5-1 Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
5
1
Cirelli
Hughes
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (737)
34.5% (342)
+11.9%
Power Play
57.6% (99)
42.9% (7)
+14.7%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (112)
25.0% (4)
+12.5%
On power play, Cirelli has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Cirelli is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (563).
Cirelli shoots left. Hughes is 33.8% vs left-shot opponents (210).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Hughes
Home
46.7% (478)
32.6% (187)
Away
46.4% (470)
36.7% (166)
By Period
Cirelli
Hughes
P1
46.6%
33.9%
P2
48.6%
34.2%
P3
44.3%
36.5%
OT
44.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
29.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
56.0%▲
45.0%
46.5%
Hughes
34.0%▼
36.5%
34.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2022 | 3 | 07:17 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 2 | 15:32 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 2 | 03:40 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |