Scouting Report
Jack McBain holds a +14.8% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 33.0% vs left-shot opponents — McBain shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 39.5% vs McBain 50.9% (-14.8%)
Offensive zone
Hughes 54.7%
Defensive zone
McBain 78.8%
Neutral zone
McBain 52.7%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 58.9%
41.1%
58.9%
Hughes
McBain
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
McBain
Edge
Even Strength
36.7% (305)
52.5% (569)
-15.8%
Power Play
14.3% (7)
42.1% (19)
-27.8%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
36.2% (47)
-2.9%
On power play, McBain has a +27.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McBain shoots left. Hughes is 33.0% vs left-shot opponents (206).
Hughes shoots left. McBain is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (374).
Home / Away
Hughes
McBain
Home
35.8% (159)
52.4% (309)
Away
36.5% (159)
49.7% (326)
By Period
Hughes
McBain
P1
42.3%
54.0%
P2
28.2%
52.7%
P3
37.2%
46.5%
Final 5 min
27.5%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▬
37.0%
36.2%
McBain
48.0%▼
54.0%
51.0%