Scouting Report
Jack McBain holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 34.8% vs left-shot opponents — McBain shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 36.5% vs McBain 46.7% (-10.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 89.0%
Defensive zone
McBain 53.0%
Neutral zone
Hughes 77.7%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 75.7%
75.7%
24.3%
Hughes
McBain
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Hughes
McBain
Last 8: Hughes 2-6 McBain
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Hughes
McBain
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McBain
0
2
Hughes
McBain
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McBain
0
2
Hughes
McBain
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
McBain
Edge
Even Strength
36.0% (2,926)
48.1% (2,322)
-12.1%
Power Play
38.8% (224)
44.6% (56)
-5.8%
Penalty Kill
31.0% (42)
35.6% (309)
-4.6%
On even strength, McBain has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McBain shoots left. Hughes is 34.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,948).
Hughes shoots left. McBain is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,692).
Home / Away
Hughes
McBain
Home
36.8% (1,681)
49.1% (1,379)
Away
35.3% (1,511)
44.0% (1,308)
By Period
Hughes
McBain
P1
36.9%
47.1%
P2
33.4%
47.4%
P3
38.2%
45.4%
OT
37.5%
37.5%
Final 5 min
34.1%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▬
37.0%
36.1%
McBain
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2025 | 3 | 16:57 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Oct 13, 2023 | 3 | 16:50 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 13, 2023 | 2 | 12:45 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Mar 5, 2023 | 3 | 11:31 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Mar 5, 2023 | 2 | 10:04 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 5, 2023 | 1 | 00:34 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 3 | 03:15 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 09:04 | Neutral | Jack McBain |