Jack Hughes vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +20.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Hughes wins 35.7% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 38.0% vs Pageau 55.0% (-20.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 74.5%
Defensive zone
Pageau 69.5%
Neutral zone
Hughes 50.8%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Hughes
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Hughes
Pageau
Last 5: Hughes 2-3 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
1
0
Hughes
Pageau
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
1
Hughes
Pageau
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
2
Hughes
Pageau
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
34.5% (342)
55.8% (1,000)
-21.3%
Power Play
42.9% (7)
56.6% (182)
-13.7%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
51.2% (170)
-26.2%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +26.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Hughes is 35.7% vs right-shot opponents (143).
Hughes shoots left. Pageau is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (983).
Home / Away
Hughes
Pageau
Home
32.6% (187)
57.1% (674)
Away
36.7% (166)
53.5% (678)
By Period
Hughes
Pageau
P1
33.9%
56.9%
P2
34.2%
54.5%
P3
36.5%
54.7%
OT
0.0%
52.9%
Final 5 min
29.7%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
34.0%▼
36.5%
34.6%
Pageau
72.0%▲
62.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2022 | 2 | 02:02 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 2 | 00:20 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 1 | 14:00 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 1 | 17:45 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |