Jack Hughes vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +23.7% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 41.4% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 39.5% vs Pageau 59.0% (-23.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 79.2%
Defensive zone
Pageau 57.4%
Neutral zone
Hughes 78.4%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 78.4%
78.4%
21.6%
Hughes
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Hughes
Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
2
Hughes
Pageau
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
36.7% (305)
59.4% (726)
-22.7%
Power Play
14.3% (7)
69.0% (42)
-54.7%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
59.7% (221)
-26.4%
On power play, Pageau has a +54.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Hughes is 41.4% vs right-shot opponents (111).
Hughes shoots left. Pageau is 60.9% vs left-shot opponents (723).
Home / Away
Hughes
Pageau
Home
35.8% (159)
58.4% (430)
Away
36.5% (159)
61.0% (559)
By Period
Hughes
Pageau
P1
42.3%
55.4%
P2
28.2%
61.8%
P3
37.2%
61.5%
Final 5 min
27.5%
63.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▬
37.0%
36.2%
Pageau
60.0%▬
60.0%
59.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2025 | 3 | 17:07 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 2 | 06:55 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |