Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +21.1% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 33.0% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 39.5% vs Tavares 56.8% (-21.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 55.8%
Defensive zone
Tavares 56.2%
Neutral zone
Hughes 50.8%
Result
John Tavares favored at 55.8%
44.2%
55.8%
Hughes
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Hughes
Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
1
Hughes
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
36.7% (305)
57.7% (975)
-21.0%
Power Play
14.3% (7)
56.0% (250)
-41.7%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
52.2% (23)
-18.9%
On power play, Tavares has a +41.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Hughes is 33.0% vs left-shot opponents (206).
Hughes shoots left. Tavares is 60.8% vs left-shot opponents (811).
Home / Away
Hughes
Tavares
Home
35.8% (159)
57.4% (636)
Away
36.5% (159)
57.2% (612)
By Period
Hughes
Tavares
P1
42.3%
57.5%
P2
28.2%
56.9%
P3
37.2%
57.5%
Final 5 min
27.5%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▬
37.0%
36.2%
Tavares
48.0%▼
54.0%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2026 | 1 | 03:42 | Offensive | John Tavares |