Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +18.7% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 33.0% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 39.5% vs Staal 54.6% (-18.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 58.1%
Defensive zone
Staal 73.7%
Neutral zone
Hughes 56.6%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 56.6%
56.6%
43.4%
Hughes
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Hughes
Staal
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Hughes
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
36.7% (305)
56.2% (989)
-19.5%
Power Play
14.3% (7)
66.0% (159)
-51.7%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
42.7% (253)
-9.4%
On power play, Staal has a +51.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Hughes is 33.0% vs left-shot opponents (206).
Hughes shoots left. Staal is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (970).
Home / Away
Hughes
Staal
Home
35.8% (159)
55.4% (699)
Away
36.5% (159)
54.4% (702)
By Period
Hughes
Staal
P1
42.3%
55.7%
P2
28.2%
54.7%
P3
37.2%
53.4%
Final 5 min
27.5%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▬
37.0%
36.2%
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 10:10 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |