Scouting Report
Macklin Celebrini holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Celebrini on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Hughes wins 33.0% vs left-shot opponents — Celebrini shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 39.5% vs Celebrini 48.7% (-12.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 73.7%
Defensive zone
Hughes 68.0%
Neutral zone
Hughes 71.8%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 71.4%
71.4%
28.6%
Hughes
Celebrini
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Hughes
Celebrini
Last 5: Hughes 1-4 Celebrini
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Celebrini
0
1
Hughes
Celebrini
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Celebrini
0
1
Hughes
Celebrini
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Celebrini
1
2
Hughes
Celebrini
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Celebrini
Edge
Even Strength
36.7% (305)
47.8% (993)
-11.1%
Power Play
14.3% (7)
54.1% (111)
-39.8%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
56.0% (25)
-22.7%
On power play, Celebrini has a +39.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Celebrini shoots left. Hughes is 33.0% vs left-shot opponents (206).
Hughes shoots left. Celebrini is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (775).
Home / Away
Hughes
Celebrini
Home
35.8% (159)
48.5% (538)
Away
36.5% (159)
48.7% (591)
By Period
Hughes
Celebrini
P1
42.3%
48.1%
P2
28.2%
46.8%
P3
37.2%
51.0%
Final 5 min
27.5%
46.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▬
37.0%
36.2%
Celebrini
48.0%▲
44.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 00:32 | Defensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 18:20 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 08:19 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 12:12 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 00:42 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |