Jack Hughes vs Macklin Celebrini
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Macklin Celebrini holds a +12.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Hughes on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Hughes wins 34.8% vs left-shot opponents — Celebrini shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 36.5% vs Celebrini 48.5% (-12.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 68.3%
Defensive zone
Celebrini 51.3%
Neutral zone
Hughes 64.1%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 63.2%
63.2%
36.8%
Hughes
Celebrini
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Hughes
Celebrini
Last 8: Hughes 3-5 Celebrini
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Celebrini
0
2
Hughes
Celebrini
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Celebrini
0
1
Hughes
Celebrini
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hughes
3
2
Hughes
Celebrini
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Celebrini
Edge
Even Strength
36.0% (2,926)
47.5% (1,894)
-11.5%
Power Play
38.8% (224)
54.4% (250)
-15.6%
Penalty Kill
31.0% (42)
55.6% (36)
-24.6%
On penalty kill, Celebrini has a +24.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Celebrini shoots left. Hughes is 34.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,948).
Hughes shoots left. Celebrini is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,486).
Home / Away
Hughes
Celebrini
Home
36.8% (1,681)
48.0% (1,091)
Away
35.3% (1,511)
48.9% (1,089)
By Period
Hughes
Celebrini
P1
36.9%
47.4%
P2
33.4%
46.6%
P3
38.2%
51.4%
OT
37.5%
47.4%
Final 5 min
34.1%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▬
37.0%
36.1%
Celebrini
48.0%▲
44.5%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 00:32 | Defensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 18:20 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 08:19 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 12:12 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 00:42 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 10, 2024 | 2 | 14:05 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 10, 2024 | 2 | 00:41 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Nov 10, 2024 | 1 | 16:21 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |