Scouting Report
Marco Rossi holds a +14.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Rossi on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Hughes wins 33.0% vs left-shot opponents — Rossi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 39.5% vs Rossi 50.2% (-14.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 63.8%
Defensive zone
Hughes 54.2%
Neutral zone
Hughes 64.7%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 60.8%
60.8%
39.2%
Hughes
Rossi
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Hughes
Rossi
Last 9: Hughes 3-6 Rossi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
0
4
Hughes
Rossi
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
1
2
Hughes
Rossi
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hughes
2
0
Hughes
Rossi
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Rossi
Edge
Even Strength
36.7% (305)
52.3% (428)
-15.6%
Power Play
14.3% (7)
35.1% (37)
-20.8%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
37.0% (27)
-3.7%
On power play, Rossi has a +20.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rossi shoots left. Hughes is 33.0% vs left-shot opponents (206).
Hughes shoots left. Rossi is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (342).
Home / Away
Hughes
Rossi
Home
35.8% (159)
50.0% (260)
Away
36.5% (159)
50.4% (232)
By Period
Hughes
Rossi
P1
42.3%
55.0%
P2
28.2%
47.9%
P3
37.2%
47.7%
Final 5 min
27.5%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▬
37.0%
36.2%
Rossi
52.0%▬
52.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2025 | 2 | 09:30 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 2 | 09:17 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 2 | 05:17 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 2 | 04:52 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 2 | 01:08 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 2 | 00:44 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 1 | 11:04 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 1 | 07:10 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 1 | 00:49 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |