Scouting Report
Marco Rossi holds a +13.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Rossi on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Hughes wins 33.0% vs left-shot opponents — Rossi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 39.5% vs Rossi 49.7% (-13.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 62.4%
Defensive zone
Hughes 52.8%
Neutral zone
Hughes 63.4%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 59.4%
59.4%
40.6%
Hughes
Rossi
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Hughes
Rossi
Last 9: Hughes 3-6 Rossi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
0
4
Hughes
Rossi
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
1
2
Hughes
Rossi
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hughes
2
0
Hughes
Rossi
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Rossi
Edge
Even Strength
36.7% (305)
51.6% (440)
-14.9%
Power Play
14.3% (7)
35.1% (37)
-20.8%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
37.0% (27)
-3.7%
On power play, Rossi has a +20.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rossi shoots left. Hughes is 33.0% vs left-shot opponents (206).
Hughes shoots left. Rossi is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (347).
Home / Away
Hughes
Rossi
Home
35.8% (159)
50.0% (260)
Away
36.5% (159)
49.2% (244)
By Period
Hughes
Rossi
P1
42.3%
53.7%
P2
28.2%
47.6%
P3
37.2%
47.4%
Final 5 min
27.5%
44.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▬
37.0%
36.2%
Rossi
46.0%▼
51.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2025 | 2 | 09:30 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 2 | 09:17 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 2 | 05:17 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 2 | 04:52 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 2 | 01:08 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 2 | 00:44 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 1 | 11:04 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 1 | 07:10 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 1 | 00:49 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |