Scouting Report
Marco Rossi holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Rossi on offensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings). Hughes wins 34.8% vs left-shot opponents — Rossi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 36.5% vs Rossi 46.8% (-10.5%)
H2H factor
Rossi leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Hughes 76.2%
Defensive zone
Hughes 51.6%
Neutral zone
Hughes 65.1%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 67.4%
67.4%
32.6%
Hughes
Rossi
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
9
(15 meetings)
6
9
Hughes
Rossi
Last 10: Hughes 4-6 Rossi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
3
5
Hughes
Rossi
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
1
3
Hughes
Rossi
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hughes
2
1
Hughes
Rossi
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Rossi
Edge
Even Strength
36.0% (2,926)
46.8% (2,180)
-10.8%
Power Play
38.8% (224)
47.1% (189)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
31.0% (42)
34.1% (44)
-3.1%
On even strength, Rossi has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rossi shoots left. Hughes is 34.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,948).
Hughes shoots left. Rossi is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,558).
Home / Away
Hughes
Rossi
Home
36.8% (1,681)
47.8% (1,225)
Away
35.3% (1,511)
45.4% (1,188)
By Period
Hughes
Rossi
P1
36.9%
47.1%
P2
33.4%
44.7%
P3
38.2%
48.2%
OT
37.5%
45.8%
Final 5 min
34.1%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▬
37.0%
36.1%
Rossi
46.0%▼
51.0%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2025 | 2 | 09:30 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 2 | 09:17 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 2 | 05:17 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 2 | 04:52 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 2 | 01:08 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 2 | 00:44 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 1 | 11:04 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 1 | 07:10 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 1 | 00:49 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 3 | 18:28 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 3 | 10:33 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 2 | 05:09 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 29, 2023 | 2 | 18:30 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 29, 2023 | 2 | 14:49 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 29, 2023 | 1 | 10:23 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |