Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +15.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Hughes wins 41.4% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 39.5% vs Zibanejad 51.8% (-15.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 65.6%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 68.9%
Neutral zone
Hughes 57.0%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Hughes
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Hughes
Zibanejad
Last 9: Hughes 4-5 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
1
0
Hughes
Zibanejad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
3
Hughes
Zibanejad
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hughes
3
2
Hughes
Zibanejad
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
36.7% (305)
53.3% (807)
-16.6%
Power Play
14.3% (7)
47.6% (42)
-33.3%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
46.3% (147)
-13.0%
On power play, Zibanejad has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Hughes is 41.4% vs right-shot opponents (111).
Hughes shoots left. Zibanejad is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (729).
Home / Away
Hughes
Zibanejad
Home
35.8% (159)
49.8% (466)
Away
36.5% (159)
54.0% (530)
By Period
Hughes
Zibanejad
P1
42.3%
52.9%
P2
28.2%
51.2%
P3
37.2%
51.7%
Final 5 min
27.5%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▬
37.0%
36.2%
Zibanejad
58.0%▲
53.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | 3 | 15:49 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 3 | 15:42 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 2 | 11:09 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 1 | 15:20 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 1 | 08:28 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 1 | 05:18 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |