Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +13.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on defensive-zone draws (85% H2H, 26 meetings). Hughes wins 38.1% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 36.5% vs Zibanejad 50.0% (-13.9%)
H2H factor
Zibanejad leads 42-30 in 72 meetings
Offensive zone
Hughes 88.4%
Defensive zone
Hughes 88.8%
Neutral zone
Hughes 89.0%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 88.8%
88.8%
11.2%
Hughes
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
30
-
42
(72 meetings)
30
42
Hughes
Zibanejad
Last 10: Hughes 4-6 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
9
7
Hughes
Zibanejad
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
4
22
Hughes
Zibanejad
26 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hughes
17
13
Hughes
Zibanejad
30 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
36.0% (2,926)
50.9% (11,756)
-14.9%
Power Play
38.8% (224)
52.2% (1,852)
-13.4%
Penalty Kill
31.0% (42)
41.6% (1,796)
-10.6%
On even strength, Zibanejad has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Hughes is 38.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,243).
Hughes shoots left. Zibanejad is 50.2% vs left-shot opponents (10,710).
Home / Away
Hughes
Zibanejad
Home
36.8% (1,681)
51.6% (7,603)
Away
35.3% (1,511)
48.3% (7,802)
By Period
Hughes
Zibanejad
P1
36.9%
50.4%
P2
33.4%
49.7%
P3
38.2%
49.9%
OT
37.5%
48.7%
Final 5 min
34.1%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▬
37.0%
36.1%
Zibanejad
58.0%▲
53.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | 3 | 15:49 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 3 | 15:42 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 2 | 11:09 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 1 | 15:20 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 1 | 08:28 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 1 | 05:18 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 3 | 07:34 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 2 | 03:43 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 1 | 14:21 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 1 | 12:05 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 1 | 09:16 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 08:00 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 1 | 01:34 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 2, 2024 | 3 | 09:37 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 2, 2024 | 2 | 18:04 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 2, 2024 | 2 | 06:57 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 2, 2024 | 1 | 07:10 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |